so let's break it down with the big boys. charlie cook, publish of the cook report and stu, editor of the rot then berg political report. >> he's already making fat jokes. >> by the way, it's louisiana week. i had john brill here yesterday and i get charlie today. we can look at where we are, busting out the ipad. i know that you guys love this. it's a 53/47 majority. they have to net four or three if republicans get the presidency. so let's look at the best opportunity for stu for the republican. we put up, you seem to collectively agree, six states that are already leaning republican or pure toss ups. >> north dakota was in the bank already. it's a good, open seat. and then after that you go to three or four races and i think even money for the republicans and you have to like how they started. that would be nebraska, montana, or missouri in difficult states fundamentally leaning states. >> look, charlie cook, you take those four, pure toss ups all the way to election day, take those other four. of those four, which ones sh